Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
82%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 30Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Domnarvsvallen
IK brage
15th · 26 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Norrby IF
14th · 27 pts50% IK
23% Draw
27% Norrby
OUR PICK
IK brage to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.29
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X4.3423.66
Goals 2.5Over1.67Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
61%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
IK brageNorrby IF1.6Goals per game1.1
2.0Conceded per game1.5
0.90Points per game0.93
21%Win rate17%
-11Goal difference-13
3Form, last 5 (pts)4
IK brage form
LLLWDA Oddevold2–1
H Osters IF4–5
A Ljungskile SK2–0
H Helsingborg2–0
H Degerfors IF1–1
Norrby IF form
LLLWDH IFK Varnamo0–3
H IFK Norrkoping0–4
A United Nordic2–1
H Osters IF2–0
A Helsingborg0–0
Head to head
4
IK
1
Draw
0
Norrby
Apr 2026Norrby IF – IK brage0–1
Mar 2023IK brage – Norrby IF5–0
Aug 2022Norrby IF – IK brage2–2
May 2022IK brage – Norrby IF2–1
Oct 2021Norrby IF – IK brage2–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes IK brage slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.81 for IK brage, 1.29 for Norrby IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IK brage sit 15th on 26 points; Norrby IF are 14th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.