Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 26Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Domnarvsvallen
IK brage
15th · 26 pts2–0FULL TIME
Helsingborg
12th · 32 pts48% IK
21% Draw
31% Helsingborg
OUR PICK
IK brage to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.60
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X4.6823.27
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
IK brageHelsingborg1.6Goals per game1.3
2.0Conceded per game1.8
0.90Points per game1.10
21%Win rate28%
-11Goal difference-14
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
IK brage form
LLLWDA Oddevold2–1
H Osters IF4–5
A Ljungskile SK2–0
H Helsingborg2–0
H Degerfors IF1–1
Helsingborg form
LDDLDA Osters IF3–0
H Ljungskile SK1–1
A Varbergs BoIS FC0–0
A IK brage2–0
H Norrby IF0–0
Head to head
2
IK
0
Draw
3
Helsingborg
Oct 2026IK brage – Helsingborg2–0
May 2026Helsingborg – IK brage2–0
Oct 2025IK brage – Helsingborg3–2
May 2025Helsingborg – IK brage1–0
Aug 2024IK brage – Helsingborg0–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes IK brage slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.04 for IK brage, 1.60 for Helsingborg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IK brage sit 15th on 26 points; Helsingborg are 12th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.