Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 28Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Finnvedsvallen
IFK Varnamo
10th · 35 pts0–1FULL TIME
Sandviken
9th · 38 pts37% IFK
24% Draw
39% Sandviken
OUR PICK
Sandviken to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.56
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.73X4.1622.54
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
IFK VarnamoSandviken1.3Goals per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game1.4
1.21Points per game1.31
34%Win rate34%
-10Goal difference5
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
IFK Varnamo form
WLWLWA Norrby IF0–3
H Sandviken0–1
A GIF Sundsvall0–1
H Falkenbergs FF1–2
A Oddevold1–2
Sandviken form
LWDLWA Falkenbergs FF2–1
A IFK Varnamo0–1
H Ostersunds FK0–0
A Landskrona BoIS3–2
H GIF Sundsvall1–0
Head to head
1
IFK
0
Draw
1
Sandviken
Oct 2026IFK Varnamo – Sandviken0–1
Apr 2026Sandviken – IFK Varnamo0–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: IFK Varnamo 37%, the draw 24%, Sandviken 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.50 for IFK Varnamo, 1.56 for Sandviken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IFK Varnamo sit 10th on 35 points; Sandviken are 9th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.