Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 30Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Finnvedsvallen
IFK Varnamo
10th · 35 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
IFK Norrkoping
1st · 65 pts13% IFK
20% Draw
67% IFK
OUR PICK
IFK Norrkoping to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.01
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.94X4.9921.48
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.14
X2
87%
Season stats
IFK VarnamoIFK Norrkoping1.3Goals per game2.1
1.7Conceded per game0.6
1.21Points per game2.24
34%Win rate69%
-10Goal difference43
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
IFK Varnamo form
WLWLWA Norrby IF0–3
H Sandviken0–1
A GIF Sundsvall0–1
H Falkenbergs FF1–2
A Oddevold1–2
IFK Norrkoping form
WWDWDH Ostersunds FK3–0
A Norrby IF0–4
H Orebro SK2–2
H GIF Sundsvall4–0
H Kalmar FF0–0
Head to head
0
IFK
0
Draw
5
IFK
Apr 2026IFK Norrkoping – IFK Varnamo6–0
Jul 2025IFK Norrkoping – IFK Varnamo3–1
Apr 2025IFK Varnamo – IFK Norrkoping1–3
Jan 2025IFK Norrkoping – IFK Varnamo1–0
Oct 2024IFK Varnamo – IFK Norrkoping1–2
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes IFK Norrkoping clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (0.73 for IFK Varnamo, 2.01 for IFK Norrkoping), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IFK Varnamo sit 10th on 35 points; IFK Norrkoping are 1st on 65.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.