Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 23Friday, 9 October 2026 · Gamla Ullevi
IFK Goteborg
9th · 38 pts1–0FULL TIME
Vasteras SK FK
6th · 44 pts36% IFK
24% Draw
41% Vasteras
OUR PICK
Vasteras SK FK to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.63
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.81X4.2322.45
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
IFK GoteborgVasteras SK FK1.3Goals per game1.5
1.7Conceded per game1.4
1.41Points per game1.63
37%Win rate48%
-10Goal difference2
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
IFK Goteborg form
LDDDWA BK Hacken1–0
H Djurgardens IF1–1
A Gais1–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Vasteras SK FK1–0
Vasteras SK FK form
WWLWLH IF Brommapojkarna1–0
A Degerfors IF0–3
H Halmstad1–2
H Mjallby AIF1–0
A IFK Goteborg1–0
Head to head
3
IFK
2
Draw
0
Vasteras
Oct 2026IFK Goteborg – Vasteras SK FK1–0
May 2026Vasteras SK FK – IFK Goteborg4–5
Sept 2024Vasteras SK FK – IFK Goteborg1–1
Jul 2024IFK Goteborg – Vasteras SK FK1–1
Feb 2020IFK Goteborg – Vasteras SK FK2–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: IFK Goteborg 36%, the draw 24%, Vasteras SK FK 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.51 for IFK Goteborg, 1.63 for Vasteras SK FK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IFK Goteborg sit 9th on 38 points; Vasteras SK FK are 6th on 44.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.