Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 28Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Gamla Ullevi
IFK Goteborg
9th · 38 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Malmo FF
7th · 40 pts34% IFK
24% Draw
42% Malmo
OUR PICK
Malmo FF to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.96X4.1422.38
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
IFK GoteborgMalmo FF1.3Goals per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game1.3
1.41Points per game1.48
37%Win rate44%
-10Goal difference6
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
IFK Goteborg form
LDDDWA BK Hacken1–0
H Djurgardens IF1–1
A Gais1–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Vasteras SK FK1–0
Malmo FF form
LWDLWH Hammarby FF1–2
A Halmstad0–3
A IF Elfsborg0–0
H BK Hacken0–1
H Kalmar FF1–0
Head to head
1
IFK
1
Draw
3
Malmo
Jul 2026Malmo FF – IFK Goteborg4–0
Aug 2025Malmo FF – IFK Goteborg0–0
May 2025IFK Goteborg – Malmo FF1–0
Mar 2025Malmo FF – IFK Goteborg3–2
Oct 2024Malmo FF – IFK Goteborg2–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: IFK Goteborg 34%, the draw 24%, Malmo FF 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.41 for IFK Goteborg, 1.60 for Malmo FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IFK Goteborg sit 9th on 38 points; Malmo FF are 7th on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.