Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 26Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Gamla Ullevi
IFK Goteborg
9th · 38 pts1–1FULL TIME
Djurgardens IF
3rd · 52 pts19% IFK
20% Draw
61% Djurgardens
OUR PICK
Djurgardens IF to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.11
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.36X4.8921.64
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.23
X2
81%
Season stats
IFK GoteborgDjurgardens IF1.4Goals per game2.0
1.7Conceded per game0.9
1.46Points per game1.93
38%Win rate59%
-9Goal difference30
9Form, last 5 (pts)11
IFK Goteborg form
LDDDWA BK Hacken1–0
H Djurgardens IF1–1
A Gais1–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Vasteras SK FK1–0
Djurgardens IF form
WDDWWH Degerfors IF2–1
A IFK Goteborg1–1
H Orgryte IS2–2
A IF Brommapojkarna0–2
A Hammarby FF0–1
Head to head
1
IFK
2
Draw
2
Djurgardens
Oct 2026IFK Goteborg – Djurgardens IF1–1
May 2026Djurgardens IF – IFK Goteborg6–0
Nov 2025Djurgardens IF – IFK Goteborg0–0
May 2025IFK Goteborg – Djurgardens IF1–2
Mar 2025Djurgardens IF – IFK Goteborg3–4
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Djurgardens IF clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.08 for IFK Goteborg, 2.11 for Djurgardens IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IFK Goteborg sit 9th on 38 points; Djurgardens IF are 3rd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.