Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 27Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Borås Arena
IF Elfsborg
5th · 43 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Orgryte IS
15th · 19 pts73% IF
16% Draw
11% Orgryte
OUR PICK
IF Elfsborg to win
Model probability 73% · fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
2.46 – 0.82
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.37X6.1729.50
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
IF ElfsborgOrgryte IS1.5Goals per game1.2
1.0Conceded per game2.2
1.65Points per game0.73
42%Win rate15%
13Goal difference-26
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
IF Elfsborg form
No recent matches.
Orgryte IS form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
IF
0
Draw
0
Orgryte
These sides haven't met recently.
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes IF Elfsborg clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.46 for IF Elfsborg, 0.82 for Orgryte IS), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 43 points; Orgryte IS are 15th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.