Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 23Monday, 12 October 2026 · Borås Arena
IF Elfsborg
5th · 46 pts4–0FULL TIME
Halmstad
16th · 17 pts71% IF
20% Draw
10% Halmstad
OUR PICK
IF Elfsborg to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.56
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X5.06210.31
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.11
1X
90%
Season stats
IF ElfsborgHalmstad1.5Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game1.9
1.70Points per game0.65
44%Win rate15%
14Goal difference-31
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
IF Elfsborg form
WDDDWH Orgryte IS2–1
A AIK Stockholm2–2
H Malmo FF0–0
A Sirius2–2
H Halmstad4–0
Halmstad form
LWLLWH Malmo FF0–3
A Vasteras SK FK1–2
H Hammarby FF0–1
A IF Elfsborg4–0
H Osters IF3–2
Head to head
3
IF
1
Draw
1
Halmstad
Oct 2026IF Elfsborg – Halmstad4–0
May 2026Halmstad – IF Elfsborg1–1
Aug 2025IF Elfsborg – Halmstad1–2
May 2025Halmstad – IF Elfsborg1–4
Sept 2024Halmstad – IF Elfsborg0–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes IF Elfsborg clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.95 for IF Elfsborg, 0.56 for Halmstad), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points; Halmstad are 16th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.