Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 24Friday, 16 October 2026 · Grimsta IP
IF Brommapojkarna
11th · 34 pts0–2FULL TIME
Djurgardens IF
3rd · 52 pts23% IF
22% Draw
55% Djurgardens
OUR PICK
Djurgardens IF to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.94
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.32X4.5421.83
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
IF BrommapojkarnaDjurgardens IF1.4Goals per game2.0
1.6Conceded per game0.9
1.26Points per game1.93
33%Win rate59%
-5Goal difference30
7Form, last 5 (pts)11
IF Brommapojkarna form
LDWLA Vasteras SK FK1–0
H BK Hacken0–0
A Kalmar FF0–3
H Djurgardens IF0–2
Djurgardens IF form
WDDWWH Degerfors IF2–1
A IFK Goteborg1–1
H Orgryte IS2–2
A IF Brommapojkarna0–2
A Hammarby FF0–1
Head to head
1
IF
1
Draw
3
Djurgardens
Oct 2026IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgardens IF0–2
May 2026Djurgardens IF – IF Brommapojkarna1–2
Mar 2026Djurgardens IF – IF Brommapojkarna2–0
Jan 2026IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgardens IF1–1
Aug 2025Djurgardens IF – IF Brommapojkarna1–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Djurgardens IF clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.19 for IF Brommapojkarna, 1.94 for Djurgardens IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
IF Brommapojkarna sit 11th on 34 points; Djurgardens IF are 3rd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.