Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 11Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Hvidovre Stadium
Hvidovre
1st · 29 pts1–0FULL TIME
Hillerød
9th · 12 pts66% Hvidovre
19% Draw
15% Hillerød
OUR PICK
Hvidovre to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.97
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X5.2826.64
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
55%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
HvidovreHillerød1.8Goals per game1.2
1.0Conceded per game1.5
2.23Points per game0.92
62%Win rate23%
11Goal difference-5
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Hvidovre form
DDWWWA Esbjerg1–1
H HB Koge2–2
H Hillerød1–0
A Vejle1–2
A Lyngby3–4
Hillerød form
LWLLDA Aarhus Fremad2–0
H Aalborg2–1
A Hvidovre1–0
H FC Fredericia0–2
A Kolding IF1–1
Head to head
2
Hvidovre
2
Draw
1
Hillerød
Oct 2026Hvidovre – Hillerød1–0
May 2026Hillerød – Hvidovre2–1
Apr 2026Hvidovre – Hillerød1–1
Oct 2025Hillerød – Hvidovre1–1
Sept 2025Hvidovre – Hillerød3–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2Vejle13+924
3FC Fredericia13+1223
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Aarhus Fremad13+118
6Hobro13-716
7Kolding IF13-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød13-512
10Vendsyssel FF13-712
Match preview
Our model makes Hvidovre clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.24 for Hvidovre, 0.97 for Hillerød), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hvidovre sit 1st on 29 points; Hillerød are 9th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.