Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%


Our model makes Huracan slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.34 for Huracan, 0.77 for Gimnasia L.P.), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.