Over 1.5 goals@1.90
Over 1.5
53%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco
Huracan
1–0FULL TIME
Aldosivi
60% Huracan
28% Draw
12% Aldosivi
OUR PICK
Huracan to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.34 – 0.42
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.66X3.5328.65
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.35
Both scoreGG3.77NG1.34
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.34
NG
75%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Huracan form
LLLLWH Tigre0–2
A Rosario Central2–0
H Gimnasia L.P.1–2
A Barracas Central2–0
H Aldosivi1–0
Aldosivi form
LWLLLA Racing Club2–1
H Belgrano Cordoba1–0
A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1
H Sarmiento Junin1–3
A Huracan1–0
Head to head
2
Huracan
2
Draw
1
Aldosivi
Oct 2026Huracan – Aldosivi1–0
Mar 2026Aldosivi – Huracan0–0
Oct 2025Aldosivi – Huracan2–0
Apr 2025Huracan – Aldosivi3–3
Aug 2022Aldosivi – Huracan0–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Huracan clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.34 for Huracan, 0.42 for Aldosivi), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.