ENGPremier League · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · MKM Stadium

Hull City

10th · 11 pts

2–2FULL TIME

Ipswich

13th · 11 pts

54% Hull

23% Draw

23% Ipswich

OUR PICK

Hull City to win

Model probability 54% · fair odds

1.86

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.07

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.86X4.2724.38

Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05

Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.29

Over 1.5

78%

Over/Under 2.5@1.85

Over 2.5

54%

Both teams to score@1.83

55%

Double chance@1.30

77%

Season stats

Hull CityIpswich

1.2Goals per game1.6

1.1Conceded per game2.0

1.22Points per game1.22

22%Win rate33%

1Goal difference-4

3Form, last 5 (pts)5

Hull City form

DDLDL

H Ipswich2–2

H Brentford1–1

A Fulham1–0

H Everton2–2

A Newcastle2–1

Ipswich form

DDLWL

A Hull City2–2

H Nottingham Forest1–1

A Manchester City3–2

H Fulham2–1

A Everton1–0

Head to head

Hull

Draw

Ipswich

Oct 2026Hull City – Ipswich2–2

Mar 2026Ipswich – Hull City1–0

Nov 2025Hull City – Ipswich0–2

Apr 2024Hull City – Ipswich3–3

Oct 2023Ipswich – Hull City3–0

Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Arsenal9+924

2Manchester City9+1021

3Brighton9+1719

4Chelsea9+416

5Liverpool9+215

6Brentford9+714

7Bournemouth9+112

8Tottenham9012

9Aston Villa9-312

10Hull City9+111

Match preview

Our model makes Hull City clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.77 for Hull City, 1.07 for Ipswich), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Hull City sit 10th on 11 points; Ipswich are 13th on 11.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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