Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · MKM Stadium
Hull City
10th · 11 pts2–2FULL TIME
Everton
14th · 10 pts44% Hull
31% Draw
25% Everton
OUR PICK
Hull City to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.12 – 0.76
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.27X3.2024.04
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.56
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.56
NG
64%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Hull CityEverton1.2Goals per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.22Points per game1.25
22%Win rate25%
1Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)5
Hull City form
DDLDLH Ipswich2–2
H Brentford1–1
A Fulham1–0
H Everton2–2
A Newcastle2–1
Everton form
WWLLDA Newcastle0–1
H Newcastle3–1
A Arsenal2–0
H Chelsea0–2
A Hull City2–2
Head to head
1
Hull
2
Draw
2
Everton
Oct 2026Hull City – Everton2–2
Jan 2022Hull City – Everton2–3
Mar 2017Everton – Hull City4–0
Dec 2016Hull City – Everton2–2
Jan 2015Hull City – Everton2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model makes Hull City slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.12 for Hull City, 0.76 for Everton), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hull City sit 10th on 11 points; Everton are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.