Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · MKM Stadium
Hull City
11th · 11 pts1–1FULL TIME
Brentford
6th · 14 pts33% Hull
27% Draw
40% Brentford
OUR PICK
Brentford to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.04X3.7522.47
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Hull CityBrentford1.2Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game1.0
1.22Points per game1.56
22%Win rate33%
1Goal difference7
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Hull City form
DDLDLH Ipswich2–2
H Brentford1–1
A Fulham1–0
H Everton2–2
A Newcastle2–1
Brentford form
WLDLDH Nottingham Forest2–0
A Sunderland3–2
A Hull City1–1
H Liverpool1–2
A Aston Villa2–2
Head to head
1
Hull
2
Draw
2
Brentford
Oct 2026Hull City – Brentford1–1
Feb 2020Hull City – Brentford1–5
Aug 2019Brentford – Hull City1–1
Feb 2019Brentford – Hull City5–1
Dec 2018Hull City – Brentford2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Everton9013
8Bournemouth9+112
9Tottenham9012
10Aston Villa9-312
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hull City 33%, the draw 27%, Brentford 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.19 for Hull City, 1.35 for Brentford), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hull City sit 11th on 11 points; Brentford are 6th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.