Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 12Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · John Smith's Stadium
Huddersfield
1st · 28 pts4–1FULL TIME
Peterborough
22nd · 10 pts74% Huddersfield
17% Draw
9% Peterborough
OUR PICK
Huddersfield to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.36
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.61
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.36X5.75211.21
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
59%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
HuddersfieldPeterborough2.1Goals per game0.8
0.8Conceded per game1.8
2.15Points per game0.77
62%Win rate15%
16Goal difference-12
13Form, last 5 (pts)5
Huddersfield form
WWWWDA Bradford0–3
H Wigan2–1
H Peterborough4–1
A Plymouth0–2
H Sheffield Wednesday2–2
Peterborough form
LLDLDH Luton0–2
A Bradford2–0
A Bromley1–1
A Huddersfield4–1
H Burton Albion2–2
Head to head
4
Huddersfield
0
Draw
1
Peterborough
Oct 2026Huddersfield – Peterborough4–1
Jan 2026Peterborough – Huddersfield2–3
Sept 2025Huddersfield – Peterborough3–2
Feb 2025Huddersfield – Peterborough0–1
Aug 2024Peterborough – Huddersfield0–2
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Huddersfield clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.19 for Huddersfield, 0.61 for Peterborough), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Huddersfield sit 1st on 28 points; Peterborough are 22nd on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.