CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Las Higueras

Huachipato

11th · 32 pts

0–0LIVE 42'

D. La Serena

9th · 33 pts

44% Huachipato

23% Draw

34% D.

OUR PICK

Huachipato to win

Model probability 44% · fair odds

2.28

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.56

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.28X4.4322.98

Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70

Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.18

Over 1.5

85%

Over/Under 2.5@1.53

Over 2.5

65%

Both teams to score@1.51

66%

Double chance@1.29

77%

Season stats

HuachipatoD. La Serena

1.4Goals per game1.6

1.7Conceded per game1.7

1.33Points per game1.32

38%Win rate32%

-6Goal difference-3

8Form, last 5 (pts)9

Huachipato form

DDWWD

H D. La Serena0–0

A A. Italiano1–1

H O'Higgins2–0

A Universidad de Concepcion0–2

H Colo Colo0–0

D. La Serena form

DWLLW

A Huachipato0–0

H Concepción3–1

A Everton de Vina3–2

H Universidad de Chile0–3

H Nublense2–1

Head to head

Huachipato

Draw

Apr 2026D. La Serena – Huachipato0–0

Aug 2025D. La Serena – Huachipato0–2

Mar 2025Huachipato – D. La Serena3–1

Aug 2022D. La Serena – Huachipato0–1

Mar 2022Huachipato – D. La Serena2–3

Primera División table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Colo Colo26+2858

2Universidad de Chile25+2548

3U. Catolica25+1543

4Everton de Vina25+1039

5Palestino25+338

6Deportes Limache25+937

7Coquimbo Unido25+335

8Nublense26-935

9D. La Serena25-333

10Concepción25-332

Match preview

Our model makes Huachipato slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.81 for Huachipato, 1.56 for D. La Serena), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Huachipato sit 11th on 32 points; D. La Serena are 9th on 33.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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