Over 1.5 goals@1.53
Over 1.5
66%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Malsovicka arena
Hradec Králové
11th · 15 pts1–2FULL TIME
FK Jablonec
7th · 20 pts39% Hradec
29% Draw
33% FK
OUR PICK
Hradec Králové to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.06
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X3.4823.06
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
Hradec KrálovéFK Jablonec0.9Goals per game1.2
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.15Points per game1.54
31%Win rate46%
-6Goal difference-2
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Hradec Králové form
LWLDLA Mlada Boleslav3–1
A Prostějov1–3
H FK Jablonec1–2
A Slavia Praha0–0
H Artis2–4
FK Jablonec form
LWDLLH Slavia Praha0–5
A Hradec Králové1–2
H Brighton0–0
H Plzen2–3
A SC Freiburg3–2
Head to head
1
Hradec
1
Draw
3
FK
Oct 2026Hradec Králové – FK Jablonec1–2
May 2026FK Jablonec – Hradec Králové1–1
Nov 2025Hradec Králové – FK Jablonec2–0
Aug 2025FK Jablonec – Hradec Králové2–0
Mar 2025Hradec Králové – FK Jablonec1–2
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hradec Králové 39%, the draw 29%, FK Jablonec 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.18 for Hradec Králové, 1.06 for FK Jablonec), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hradec Králové sit 11th on 15 points; FK Jablonec are 7th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.