Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
73%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Shell Energy Stadium
Houston Dynamo
5th · 51 pts01:00KICK-OFF WAT
St. Louis City
4th · 51 pts39% Houston
26% Draw
34% St.
OUR PICK
Houston Dynamo to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.54X3.8022.92
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.94
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Houston DynamoSt. Louis City1.3Goals per game1.8
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.55Points per game1.55
42%Win rate42%
1Goal difference10
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Houston Dynamo form
LWDDDA Portland Timbers3–1
A Seattle Sounders0–1
H Minnesota United FC0–0
H FC Dallas2–2
A San Diego3–3
St. Louis City form
LLLDLH San Diego0–1
H Portland Timbers2–3
A Real Salt Lake3–0
A Columbus Crew0–0
A Minnesota United FC3–2
Head to head
2
Houston
1
Draw
2
St.
Aug 2026St. Louis City – Houston Dynamo2–1
May 2026St. Louis City – Houston Dynamo2–2
Aug 2025St. Louis City – Houston Dynamo2–3
Jun 2025Houston Dynamo – St. Louis City1–0
Oct 2024St. Louis City – Houston Dynamo3–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Houston Dynamo 39%, the draw 26%, St. Louis City 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.36 for Houston Dynamo, 1.25 for St. Louis City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Houston Dynamo sit 5th on 51 points; St. Louis City are 4th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.