Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion
Hoffenheim II
9th · 16 pts0–1FULL TIME
FC Viktoria Köln
1st · 26 pts29% Hoffenheim
21% Draw
50% FC
OUR PICK
FC Viktoria Köln to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.11
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.44X4.7722.00
Goals 2.5Over1.40Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Hoffenheim IIFC Viktoria Köln1.8Goals per game2.6
1.7Conceded per game1.3
1.33Points per game2.17
42%Win rate67%
1Goal difference16
3Form, last 5 (pts)11
Hoffenheim II form
No recent matches.
FC Viktoria Köln form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Hoffenheim
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.58 for Hoffenheim II, 2.11 for FC Viktoria Köln), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hoffenheim II sit 9th on 16 points; FC Viktoria Köln are 1st on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.