Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
87%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 27Sunday, 18 October 2026
hodd
9th · 38 pts5–1FULL TIME
Raufoss
16th · 20 pts65% hodd
18% Draw
17% Raufoss
OUR PICK
hodd to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
2.39 – 1.13
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.54X5.4526.05
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
hoddRaufoss1.7Goals per game1.1
2.0Conceded per game2.7
1.31Points per game0.69
38%Win rate21%
-10Goal difference-47
4Form, last 5 (pts)1
hodd form
LLLWDH Bryne0–3
A Asane3–0
A Haugesund3–2
H Raufoss5–1
H Ranheim1–1
Raufoss form
LLLLDA Lyn4–0
H Ranheim1–3
A Sogndal2–1
A hodd5–1
A Bryne1–1
Head to head
2
hodd
1
Draw
2
Raufoss
Oct 2026hodd – Raufoss5–1
Apr 2026Raufoss – hodd1–1
Aug 2025hodd – Raufoss2–4
Jun 2025Raufoss – hodd6–1
Oct 2023Raufoss – hodd0–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes hodd clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.39 for hodd, 1.13 for Raufoss), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
hodd sit 9th on 38 points; Raufoss are 16th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.