DEN1. Division · Matchday 12Friday, 23 October 2026 · DS Arena

Hobro

6th · 16 pts

2–2FULL TIME

Vendsyssel FF

10th · 12 pts

45% Hobro

25% Draw

29% Vendsyssel

OUR PICK

Hobro to win

Model probability 45% · fair odds

2.21

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.18

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.21X3.9523.41

Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93

Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.33

Over 1.5

75%

Over/Under 2.5@1.97

Over 2.5

51%

Both teams to score@1.84

54%

Double chance@1.34

75%

Season stats

HobroVendsyssel FF

1.2Goals per game1.1

1.8Conceded per game1.6

1.23Points per game0.92

31%Win rate15%

-7Goal difference-7

3Form, last 5 (pts)3

Hobro form

DDLDL

A Aalborg1–1

H Vendsyssel FF2–2

A FC Fredericia3–0

H Kolding IF1–1

A HB Koge5–2

Vendsyssel FF form

DDLLL

H Vejle1–1

A Hobro2–2

A Kolding IF2–1

H HB Koge0–2

A Aarhus2–1

Head to head

Hobro

Draw

Vendsyssel

Oct 2026Hobro – Vendsyssel FF2–2

Aug 2026Hobro – Vendsyssel FF0–4

Aug 2026Vendsyssel FF – Hobro1–2

Feb 2026Hobro – Vendsyssel FF0–1

May 2025Vendsyssel FF – Hobro2–0

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Hvidovre13+1129

2Vejle13+924

3FC Fredericia13+1223

4AB Copenhagen13+318

5Aarhus Fremad13+118

6Hobro13-716

7Kolding IF13-115

8Aalborg13-215

9Hillerød13-512

10Vendsyssel FF13-712

Match preview

Our model makes Hobro slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.53 for Hobro, 1.18 for Vendsyssel FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Hobro sit 6th on 16 points; Vendsyssel FF are 10th on 12.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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