DEN1. Division · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · DS Arena

Hobro

6th · 16 pts

1–1FULL TIME

Kolding IF

7th · 15 pts

37% Hobro

25% Draw

38% Kolding

OUR PICK

Kolding IF to win

Model probability 38% · fair odds

2.62

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.44

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.72X4.0022.62

Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05

Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.29

Over 1.5

78%

Over/Under 2.5@1.84

Over 2.5

54%

Both teams to score@1.73

58%

Double chance@1.33

75%

Season stats

HobroKolding IF

1.2Goals per game1.2

1.8Conceded per game1.3

1.23Points per game1.15

31%Win rate23%

-7Goal difference-1

3Form, last 5 (pts)8

Hobro form

DDLDL

A Aalborg1–1

H Vendsyssel FF2–2

A FC Fredericia3–0

H Kolding IF1–1

A HB Koge5–2

Kolding IF form

WLWDW

H HB Koge3–2

A AB Copenhagen1–0

H Vendsyssel FF2–1

A Hobro1–1

H Odense5–4

Head to head

Hobro

Draw

Kolding

Oct 2026Hobro – Kolding IF1–1

Mar 2026Kolding IF – Hobro2–1

Sept 2025Hobro – Kolding IF2–2

Mar 2025Kolding IF – Hobro1–0

Sept 2024Hobro – Kolding IF1–0

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Hvidovre13+1129

2Vejle13+924

3FC Fredericia13+1223

4AB Copenhagen13+318

5Aarhus Fremad13+118

6Hobro13-716

7Kolding IF13-115

8Aalborg13-215

9Hillerød13-512

10Vendsyssel FF13-712

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Hobro 37%, the draw 25%, Kolding IF 38%.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.41 for Hobro, 1.44 for Kolding IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Hobro sit 6th on 16 points; Kolding IF are 7th on 15.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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