DEN1. Division · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · DS Arena

Hobro

6th · 16 pts

13:30KICK-OFF WAT

Esbjerg

12th · 11 pts

47% Hobro

23% Draw

30% Esbjerg

OUR PICK

Hobro to win

Model probability 47% · fair odds

2.12

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.39

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.12X4.3523.35

Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48

Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.21

Over 1.5

83%

Over/Under 2.5@1.62

Over 2.5

62%

Both teams to score@1.60

63%

Double chance@1.30

77%

Season stats

HobroEsbjerg

1.2Goals per game1.2

1.8Conceded per game1.8

1.23Points per game0.85

31%Win rate15%

-7Goal difference-8

3Form, last 5 (pts)6

Hobro form

DDLDL

A Aalborg1–1

H Vendsyssel FF2–2

A FC Fredericia3–0

H Kolding IF1–1

A HB Koge5–2

Esbjerg form

DLWDD

H Hvidovre1–1

H FC Nordsjaelland0–1

H FC Fredericia2–1

A Aarhus Fremad0–0

H Aalborg3–3

Head to head

Hobro

Draw

Esbjerg

Aug 2026Esbjerg – Hobro1–2

Oct 2025Esbjerg – Hobro1–1

Aug 2025Hobro – Esbjerg2–0

Nov 2024Esbjerg – Hobro3–2

Jul 2024Hobro – Esbjerg3–6

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Hvidovre13+1129

2Vejle13+924

3FC Fredericia13+1223

4AB Copenhagen13+318

5Aarhus Fremad13+118

6Hobro13-716

7Kolding IF13-115

8Aalborg13-215

9Hillerød13-512

10Vendsyssel FF13-712

Match preview

Our model makes Hobro slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.80 for Hobro, 1.39 for Esbjerg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Hobro sit 6th on 16 points; Esbjerg are 12th on 11.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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