Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
CROHNL · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split
1st · 26 pts5–0FULL TIME
HNK Gorica
10th · 7 pts80% HNK
14% Draw
6% HNK
OUR PICK
HNK Hajduk Split to win
Model probability 80% · fair odds
1.26
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.51
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.26X6.99216.62
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.06
1X
94%
Season stats
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica2.2Goals per game0.6
0.9Conceded per game1.7
2.17Points per game0.58
67%Win rate8%
15Goal difference-13
10Form, last 5 (pts)5
HNK Hajduk Split form
No recent matches.
HNK Gorica form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
HNK
0
Draw
0
HNK
These sides haven't met recently.
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Varazdin11+518
4NK Osijek11+317
5HNK Rijeka10+317
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11-411
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split clear favourites, giving them a 80% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.42 for HNK Hajduk Split, 0.51 for HNK Gorica), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st on 26 points; HNK Gorica are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.