Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
CROHNL · Matchday 9Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split
1st · 26 pts2–1FULL TIME
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd · 22 pts50% HNK
22% Draw
27% Dinamo
OUR PICK
HNK Hajduk Split to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.36
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.99X4.4923.65
Goals 2.5Over1.58Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.58
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb2.2Goals per game2.3
0.9Conceded per game1.3
2.17Points per game2.00
67%Win rate64%
15Goal difference11
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
HNK Hajduk Split form
WDWWWH HNK Gorica5–0
A Istra 19612–2
A FC Thun0–1
H NK Varazdin1–0
H Ajax2–1
Dinamo Zagreb form
LWLWWA Rudes1–0
H HNK Rijeka2–1
H NEC Nijmegen2–4
A NK Slaven Belupo1–5
H Anderlecht1–0
Head to head
1
HNK
1
Draw
3
Dinamo
Oct 2026HNK Hajduk Split – Dinamo Zagreb2–1
May 2026Dinamo Zagreb – HNK Hajduk Split2–0
Mar 2026HNK Hajduk Split – Dinamo Zagreb1–3
Dec 2025Dinamo Zagreb – HNK Hajduk Split1–1
Sept 2025HNK Hajduk Split – Dinamo Zagreb0–2
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.91 for HNK Hajduk Split, 1.36 for Dinamo Zagreb), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st on 26 points; Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.