Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
CROHNL · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica
10th · 7 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
NK Slaven Belupo
7th · 13 pts35% HNK
28% Draw
37% NK
OUR PICK
NK Slaven Belupo to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.70
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.85X3.6022.70
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.74
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
HNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo0.6Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game2.1
0.58Points per game1.08
8%Win rate33%
-13Goal difference-11
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
HNK Gorica form
LDDLDA HNK Hajduk Split5–0
H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
A NK Osijek1–1
H Rudes1–2
H Bravo3–3
NK Slaven Belupo form
LWLWLH Istra 19610–2
A NK Varazdin1–2
H Dinamo Zagreb1–5
H HNK Rijeka4–1
A Olimpija Ljubljana2–1
Head to head
1
HNK
1
Draw
3
NK
Aug 2026NK Slaven Belupo – HNK Gorica2–0
May 2026NK Slaven Belupo – HNK Gorica1–0
Mar 2026HNK Gorica – NK Slaven Belupo2–2
Dec 2025NK Slaven Belupo – HNK Gorica2–1
Sept 2025HNK Gorica – NK Slaven Belupo2–1
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: HNK Gorica 35%, the draw 28%, NK Slaven Belupo 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.17 for HNK Gorica, 1.21 for NK Slaven Belupo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
HNK Gorica sit 10th on 7 points; NK Slaven Belupo are 7th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.