Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
70%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Helsingor Stadion
Hillerød
9th · 12 pts0–2FULL TIME
FC Fredericia
3rd · 23 pts24% Hillerød
26% Draw
49% FC
OUR PICK
FC Fredericia to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.47
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.10X3.7922.03
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.32
X2
76%
Season stats
HillerødFC Fredericia1.2Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game0.7
0.92Points per game1.77
23%Win rate46%
-5Goal difference12
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Hillerød form
LWLLDA Aarhus Fremad2–0
H Aalborg2–1
A Hvidovre1–0
H FC Fredericia0–2
A Kolding IF1–1
FC Fredericia form
WLWWDH AB Copenhagen3–1
A Esbjerg2–1
H Hobro3–0
A Hillerød0–2
H Vejle2–2
Head to head
1
Hillerød
1
Draw
3
FC
Oct 2026Hillerød – FC Fredericia0–2
Mar 2025FC Fredericia – Hillerød0–2
Sept 2024Hillerød – FC Fredericia0–3
Oct 2023Hillerød – FC Fredericia1–1
Aug 2023FC Fredericia – Hillerød3–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2Vejle13+924
3FC Fredericia13+1223
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Aarhus Fremad13+118
6Hobro13-716
7Kolding IF13-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød13-512
10Vendsyssel FF13-712
Match preview
Our model makes FC Fredericia slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.95 for Hillerød, 1.47 for FC Fredericia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hillerød sit 9th on 12 points; FC Fredericia are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.