Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Helsingor Stadion
Hillerød
9th · 12 pts2–1FULL TIME
Aalborg
8th · 15 pts36% Hillerød
27% Draw
37% Aalborg
OUR PICK
Aalborg to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.71
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X3.7522.71
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
HillerødAalborg1.2Goals per game1.2
1.5Conceded per game1.4
0.92Points per game1.15
23%Win rate23%
-5Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Hillerød form
LWLLDA Aarhus Fremad2–0
H Aalborg2–1
A Hvidovre1–0
H FC Fredericia0–2
A Kolding IF1–1
Aalborg form
DLLDWH Hobro1–1
A Hillerød2–1
H Vejle0–1
A Esbjerg3–3
A Randers FC0–1
Head to head
1
Hillerød
2
Draw
2
Aalborg
Oct 2026Hillerød – Aalborg2–1
Jul 2026Aalborg – Hillerød1–0
Feb 2026Aalborg – Hillerød3–3
Jul 2025Hillerød – Aalborg2–2
Mar 2024Hillerød – Aalborg1–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2Vejle13+924
3FC Fredericia13+1223
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Aarhus Fremad13+118
6Hobro13-716
7Kolding IF13-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød13-512
10Vendsyssel FF13-712
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Hillerød 36%, the draw 27%, Aalborg 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.27 for Hillerød, 1.28 for Aalborg), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hillerød sit 9th on 12 points; Aalborg are 8th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.