Over 1.5 goals@1.84
Over 1.5
54%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 31Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Barbourfields Stadium
Highlanders
8th · 44 pts0–0FULL TIME
Manica Diamonds
18th · 21 pts65% Highlanders
26% Draw
9% Manica
OUR PICK
Highlanders to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.37
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X3.83210.81
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.38
Both scoreGG3.93NG1.31
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.31
NG
76%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
HighlandersManica Diamonds0.8Goals per game0.4
0.7Conceded per game1.4
1.38Points per game0.66
28%Win rate13%
4Goal difference-31
3Form, last 5 (pts)2
Highlanders form
DDLLDA Hunters1–1
H Manica Diamonds0–0
A Ngezi Platinum1–0
H Hardrock0–1
A Triangle United0–0
Manica Diamonds form
LDDLLH Bulawayo Chiefs0–1
A Highlanders0–0
H TelOne0–0
A Hunters1–0
A Agama1–0
Head to head
1
Highlanders
3
Draw
1
Manica
Oct 2026Highlanders – Manica Diamonds0–0
May 2026Manica Diamonds – Highlanders0–0
Nov 2025Highlanders – Manica Diamonds1–1
Jun 2025Manica Diamonds – Highlanders0–1
Oct 2024Manica Diamonds – Highlanders1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Highlanders clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.45 for Highlanders, 0.37 for Manica Diamonds), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Highlanders sit 8th on 44 points; Manica Diamonds are 18th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.