SCOPremiership · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Easter Road

Hibernian

12th · 8 pts
1–2FULL TIME

Celtic

1st · 28 pts
17% Hibernian
22% Draw
62% Celtic
OUR PICK
Celtic to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.90
Confidence
High

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X216.01X4.5921.62
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%

Season stats

HibernianCeltic
1.0Goals per game2.3
1.5Conceded per game0.8
0.73Points per game2.33
18%Win rate75%
-6Goal difference17
2Form, last 5 (pts)10

Hibernian form

WDLLL
A Heart Of Midlothian1–2
A ST Mirren1–1
H Celtic1–2
H Falkirk1–2
A Dundee Utd1–0

Celtic form

LDWLW
A Falkirk2–0
H Dundee Utd2–2
A Hibernian1–2
H Celta Vigo1–2
H Heart Of Midlothian7–1

Head to head

1
Hibernian
1
Draw
3
Celtic
Oct 2026Hibernian – Celtic1–2
May 2026Hibernian – Celtic1–2
Feb 2026Celtic – Hibernian1–2
Nov 2025Hibernian – Celtic1–2
Sept 2025Celtic – Hibernian0–0

Premiership table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211

Match preview

Our model makes Celtic clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.8 goals in total (0.87 for Hibernian, 1.90 for Celtic), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Hibernian sit 12th on 8 points; Celtic are 1st on 28.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.