Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Olympiastadion
Hertha BSC
1st · 28 pts20:30KICK-OFF WAT
VfL Wolfsburg
3rd · 19 pts58% Hertha
20% Draw
22% VfL
OUR PICK
Hertha BSC to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.74X4.9524.49
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Hertha BSCVfL Wolfsburg2.3Goals per game2.5
0.8Conceded per game1.4
2.80Points per game1.90
90%Win rate50%
15Goal difference11
13Form, last 5 (pts)11
Hertha BSC form
WWWDWA 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–3
A SSV Jeddeloh0–2
H Arminia Bielefeld1–0
A Holstein Kiel0–0
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1
VfL Wolfsburg form
WLDWDH VfL Osnabrück2–0
A SC Freiburg3–2
A VfL Bochum1–1
H 1. FC Heidenheim3–1
A 1. FC Nürnberg4–4
Head to head
2
Hertha
1
Draw
2
VfL
Oct 2025VfL Wolfsburg – Hertha BSC0–2
May 2023VfL Wolfsburg – Hertha Berlin1–2
Jan 2023Hertha Berlin – VfL Wolfsburg0–5
Jan 2022VfL Wolfsburg – Hertha Berlin0–0
Aug 2021Hertha Berlin – VfL Wolfsburg1–2
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes Hertha BSC clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.21 for Hertha BSC, 1.32 for VfL Wolfsburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hertha BSC sit 1st on 28 points; VfL Wolfsburg are 3rd on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.