Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Olympiastadion
Hertha BSC
1st · 28 pts1–0FULL TIME
Arminia Bielefeld
7th · 14 pts68% Hertha
18% Draw
15% Arminia
OUR PICK
Hertha BSC to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.08
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X5.7126.74
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
60%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeld2.3Goals per game1.6
0.8Conceded per game1.5
2.80Points per game1.40
90%Win rate40%
15Goal difference1
13Form, last 5 (pts)10
Hertha BSC form
WWWDWA 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–3
A SSV Jeddeloh0–2
H Arminia Bielefeld1–0
A Holstein Kiel0–0
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1
Arminia Bielefeld form
WLWWDH Eintracht Braunschweig3–1
A Hertha BSC1–0
H VfL Osnabrück2–1
A VfL Bochum0–1
H Rot-Weiß Essen2–2
Head to head
2
Hertha
2
Draw
1
Arminia
Oct 2026Hertha BSC – Arminia Bielefeld1–0
May 2026Arminia Bielefeld – Hertha BSC6–1
Dec 2025Hertha BSC – Arminia Bielefeld1–1
Apr 2022Arminia Bielefeld – Hertha Berlin1–1
Dec 2021Hertha Berlin – Arminia Bielefeld2–0
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes Hertha BSC clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.47 for Hertha BSC, 1.08 for Arminia Bielefeld), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hertha BSC sit 1st on 28 points; Arminia Bielefeld are 7th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.