Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · Polman Stadion
Heracles
1st · 29 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC OSS
15th · 13 pts75% Heracles
14% Draw
11% FC
OUR PICK
Heracles to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.34
Expected goals
2.93 – 1.08
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.34X7.0429.04
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
HeraclesFC OSS3.1Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.7
2.42Points per game1.08
75%Win rate33%
23Goal difference-1
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Heracles form
No recent matches.
FC OSS form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Heracles
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles12+2329
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Emmen12+725
4Almere City FC13+1425
5Roda13+525
6NAC Breda12+321
7FC Volendam13+819
8Vitesse12-117
9Jong AZ13+417
10MVV13-1217
Match preview
Our model makes Heracles clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.93 for Heracles, 1.08 for FC OSS), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Heracles sit 1st on 29 points; FC OSS are 15th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.