Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 28Friday, 16 October 2026 · Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Henan Jianye
14th · 28 pts0–1FULL TIME
Tianjin Teda
12th · 31 pts39% Henan
27% Draw
34% Tianjin
OUR PICK
Henan Jianye to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.57X3.6522.97
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.78
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
Henan JianyeTianjin Teda1.3Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game1.2
0.97Points per game1.07
28%Win rate38%
-4Goal difference4
3Form, last 5 (pts)12
Henan Jianye form
LLDDDH Beijing Guoan3–4
H Tianjin Teda0–1
A Sichuan Jiuniu2–2
A Wuhan Three Towns1–1
H Chengdu Better City0–0
Tianjin Teda form
LWWWWH SHANGHAI SIPG1–3
A Henan Jianye0–1
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Shenyang Urban1–0
H Hangzhou Greentown2–1
Head to head
1
Henan
0
Draw
4
Tianjin
Oct 2026Henan Jianye – Tianjin Teda0–1
May 2026Tianjin Teda – Henan Jianye1–2
Sept 2025Tianjin Teda – Henan Jianye1–0
May 2025Henan Jianye – Tianjin Teda3–4
Sept 2024Tianjin Teda – Henan Jianye1–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Henan Jianye 39%, the draw 27%, Tianjin Teda 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.27 for Henan Jianye, 1.16 for Tianjin Teda), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points; Tianjin Teda are 12th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.