Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Olympia
Helsingborg
12th · 32 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ljungskile SK
11th · 34 pts38% Helsingborg
25% Draw
37% Ljungskile
OUR PICK
Helsingborg to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X4.0022.70
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
HelsingborgLjungskile SK1.3Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.4
1.14Points per game1.17
29%Win rate28%
-11Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Helsingborg form
DDLDLH Ljungskile SK1–1
A Varbergs BoIS FC0–0
A IK brage2–0
H Norrby IF0–0
A Ostersunds FK1–0
Ljungskile SK form
DDWDLA Varbergs BoIS FC2–2
A Helsingborg1–1
H IK brage2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
A GIF Sundsvall3–2
Head to head
0
Helsingborg
1
Draw
1
Ljungskile
Oct 2026Helsingborg – Ljungskile SK1–1
Apr 2026Ljungskile SK – Helsingborg4–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Helsingborg 38%, the draw 25%, Ljungskile SK 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.44 for Helsingborg, 1.42 for Ljungskile SK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Helsingborg sit 12th on 32 points; Ljungskile SK are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.