Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
84%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 30Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Olympia
Helsingborg
12th · 32 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Falkenbergs FF
2nd · 54 pts27% Helsingborg
22% Draw
50% Falkenbergs
OUR PICK
Falkenbergs FF to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.90
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.66X4.4721.99
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
HelsingborgFalkenbergs FF1.3Goals per game1.9
1.8Conceded per game1.3
1.10Points per game1.86
28%Win rate55%
-14Goal difference15
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
Helsingborg form
LDDLDA Osters IF3–0
H Ljungskile SK1–1
A Varbergs BoIS FC0–0
A IK brage2–0
H Norrby IF0–0
Falkenbergs FF form
WLWWDH Sandviken2–1
A Orebro SK1–0
H Landskrona BoIS4–3
A IFK Varnamo1–2
H Ostersunds FK0–0
Head to head
2
Helsingborg
2
Draw
1
Falkenbergs
Jul 2026Falkenbergs FF – Helsingborg2–3
Feb 2026Helsingborg – Falkenbergs FF1–2
Aug 2025Helsingborg – Falkenbergs FF0–0
Jun 2025Falkenbergs FF – Helsingborg2–2
Mar 2025Helsingborg – Falkenbergs FF2–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Falkenbergs FF slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.35 for Helsingborg, 1.90 for Falkenbergs FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Helsingborg sit 12th on 32 points; Falkenbergs FF are 2nd on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.