Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
ITASerie B · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona
7th · 15 pts1–1FULL TIME
Pisa
8th · 15 pts54% Hellas
20% Draw
26% Pisa
OUR PICK
Hellas Verona to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.54
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.86X4.9523.82
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Hellas VeronaPisa1.9Goals per game1.8
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.50Points per game1.50
40%Win rate40%
6Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Hellas Verona form
WWDDLH Carrarese3–0
A Juve Stabia0–1
H Pisa1–1
H Catanzaro2–2
A Modena3–2
Pisa form
LDDWWA Avellino2–0
H Palermo3–3
A Hellas Verona1–1
H Cremonese3–1
A Vicenza Virtus0–3
Head to head
0
Hellas
5
Draw
0
Pisa
Oct 2026Hellas Verona – Pisa1–1
Feb 2026Hellas Verona – Pisa0–0
Oct 2025Pisa – Hellas Verona0–0
Mar 2017Hellas Verona – Pisa1–1
Oct 2016Pisa – Hellas Verona0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Hellas Verona slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.25 for Hellas Verona, 1.54 for Pisa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hellas Verona sit 7th on 15 points; Pisa are 8th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.