Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
ITASerie B · Matchday 7Friday, 16 October 2026 · Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona
7th · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Catanzaro
20th · 6 pts76% Hellas
14% Draw
10% Catanzaro
OUR PICK
Hellas Verona to win
Model probability 76% · fair odds
1.31
Expected goals
2.82 – 0.93
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.31X7.10210.32
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.11
1X
90%
Season stats
Hellas VeronaCatanzaro1.9Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game2.2
1.50Points per game0.60
40%Win rate10%
6Goal difference-11
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Hellas Verona form
WWDDLH Carrarese3–0
A Juve Stabia0–1
H Pisa1–1
H Catanzaro2–2
A Modena3–2
Catanzaro form
DDLDLH Padova1–1
A Benevento1–1
H Ascoli1–6
A Hellas Verona2–2
H Mantova1–3
Head to head
1
Hellas
1
Draw
0
Catanzaro
Oct 2026Hellas Verona – Catanzaro2–2
Aug 2021Hellas Verona – Catanzaro3–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Hellas Verona clear favourites, giving them a 76% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.82 for Hellas Verona, 0.93 for Catanzaro), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hellas Verona sit 7th on 15 points; Catanzaro are 20th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.