Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona
9th · 12 pts17:15KICK-OFF WAT
Carrarese
14th · 10 pts51% Hellas
25% Draw
24% Carrarese
OUR PICK
Hellas Verona to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.04
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X4.0524.13
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.00
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
Hellas VeronaCarrarese1.8Goals per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.33Points per game1.11
33%Win rate33%
3Goal difference-1
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Hellas Verona form
No recent matches.
Carrarese form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Hellas
0
Draw
0
Carrarese
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Hellas Verona slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.63 for Hellas Verona, 1.04 for Carrarese), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hellas Verona sit 9th on 12 points; Carrarese are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.