Over 1.5 goals@2.15
Over 1.5
47%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · WAFA Park
Hearts of Oak
3rd · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Port City
5th · 15 pts40% Hearts
35% Draw
25% Port
OUR PICK
Hearts of Oak to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
0.92 – 0.65
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X2.8424.06
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.40
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.40
NG
71%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Hearts of OakPort City1.0Goals per game1.2
0.3Conceded per game0.8
1.89Points per game1.67
56%Win rate44%
6Goal difference4
10Form, last 5 (pts)8
Hearts of Oak form
WWWDH Basake Holy Stars1–0
A Vision0–1
H Port City1–0
A Dreams0–0
Port City form
DWDLWA Vision0–0
A Karela1–2
H Dreams1–1
A Hearts of Oak1–0
H Bechem United3–1
Head to head
1
Hearts
0
Draw
0
Port
Oct 2026Hearts of Oak – Port City1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Hearts of Oak slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 35% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.92 for Hearts of Oak, 0.65 for Port City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd on 17 points; Port City are 5th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.