Over 1.5 goals@2.28
Over 1.5
44%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 8Friday, 23 October 2026 · WAFA Park
Hearts of Oak
3rd · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Basake Holy Stars
10th · 12 pts54% Hearts
33% Draw
13% Basake
OUR PICK
Hearts of Oak to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.39
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.86X3.0027.66
Goals 2.5Over4.97Under1.23
Both scoreGG4.29NG1.27
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Under 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.27
NG
78%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
Hearts of OakBasake Holy Stars1.0Goals per game0.6
0.3Conceded per game1.0
1.89Points per game1.33
56%Win rate44%
6Goal difference-4
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Hearts of Oak form
LWWWDA Debibi United1–0
H Basake Holy Stars1–0
A Vision0–1
H Port City1–0
A Dreams0–0
Basake Holy Stars form
LLWLWH Dreams0–1
A Hearts of Oak1–0
H Bechem United1–0
A Bibiani Gold Stars2–0
H Berekum Chelsea1–0
Head to head
2
Hearts
2
Draw
1
Basake
Oct 2026Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars1–0
Mar 2026Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars0–0
Nov 2025Basake Holy Stars – Hearts of Oak1–2
Jan 2025Basake Holy Stars – Hearts of Oak0–0
Sept 2024Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars0–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Hearts of Oak clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (1.10 for Hearts of Oak, 0.39 for Basake Holy Stars), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd on 17 points; Basake Holy Stars are 10th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.