Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 11Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Tynecastle Park
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd · 20 pts2–2FULL TIME
Rangers
2nd · 24 pts35% Heart
25% Draw
40% Rangers
OUR PICK
Rangers to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.82X4.0622.51
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Heart Of MidlothianRangers2.2Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.82Points per game2.18
55%Win rate64%
7Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)11
Heart Of Midlothian form
LDWLH Hibernian1–2
H Rangers2–2
A Motherwell0–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
Rangers form
No recent matches.
Head to head
3
Heart
1
Draw
1
Rangers
Oct 2026Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers2–2
May 2026Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers2–1
Feb 2026Rangers – Heart Of Midlothian4–2
Dec 2025Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers2–1
Sept 2025Rangers – Heart Of Midlothian0–2
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Heart Of Midlothian 35%, the draw 25%, Rangers 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.41 for Heart Of Midlothian, 1.51 for Rangers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Heart Of Midlothian sit 3rd on 20 points; Rangers are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.