Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Tynecastle Park
Heart Of Midlothian
28th · 1 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC Nordsjaelland
19th · 2 pts36% Heart
25% Draw
40% FC
OUR PICK
FC Nordsjaelland to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.82X4.0722.50
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Heart Of MidlothianFC Nordsjaelland0.5Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.5
0.50Points per game1.00
0%Win rate0%
-2Goal difference0
1Form, last 5 (pts)2
Heart Of Midlothian form
LDWLH Hibernian1–2
H Rangers2–2
A Motherwell0–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
FC Nordsjaelland form
LWDDDH FC Midtjylland2–3
A Esbjerg0–1
A Silkeborg1–1
H CSKA Sofia2–2
A Lyngby3–3
Head to head
0
Heart
1
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026Heart Of Midlothian – FC Nordsjaelland1–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Heart Of Midlothian 36%, the draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.42 for Heart Of Midlothian, 1.52 for FC Nordsjaelland), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Heart Of Midlothian sit 28th on 1 points; FC Nordsjaelland are 19th on 2.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.