Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
WALPremier League · Matchday 16Friday, 6 November 2026 · Bridge Meadow Stadium
Haverfordwest County AFC
11th · 16 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Cardiff MET
8th · 22 pts30% Haverfordwest
28% Draw
42% Cardiff
OUR PICK
Cardiff MET to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.36
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.29
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.37X3.5822.36
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff MET0.8Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.07Points per game1.47
33%Win rate40%
-8Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Haverfordwest County AFC form
WWWLLA Ammanford AFC0–1
A Barry Town1–3
H Cardiff Corinthians4–0
H Caernarfon Town1–2
H Flint Town United0–1
Cardiff MET form
LDWLWH Penybont0–5
A Colwyn Bay2–2
H Ynyshir Albions4–0
H Trefelin1–3
A Llandudno0–1
Head to head
2
Haverfordwest
2
Draw
1
Cardiff
Sept 2026Cardiff MET – Haverfordwest County AFC1–0
Mar 2026Haverfordwest County AFC – Cardiff MET1–0
Jan 2026Cardiff MET – Haverfordwest County AFC0–2
Dec 2025Cardiff MET – Haverfordwest County AFC0–0
Aug 2025Haverfordwest County AFC – Cardiff MET2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes Cardiff MET slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.03 for Haverfordwest County AFC, 1.29 for Cardiff MET), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Haverfordwest County AFC sit 11th on 16 points; Cardiff MET are 8th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.