Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 11Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Havelse
20th · 10 pts3–2FULL TIME
FC Saarbrücken
4th · 20 pts24% Havelse
19% Draw
57% FC
OUR PICK
FC Saarbrücken to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.41
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.20X5.2021.76
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.40NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.40
GG
71%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
HavelseFC Saarbrücken1.4Goals per game2.3
2.2Conceded per game1.8
0.83Points per game1.67
17%Win rate50%
-9Goal difference7
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Havelse form
DWDDLH FC Ingolstadt 041–1
H FC Saarbrücken3–2
A SV Meppen1–1
H Würzburger Kickers2–2
A SSV Jahn Regensburg5–0
FC Saarbrücken form
WLWLDH Waldhof Mannheim2–1
A Havelse3–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf1–3
H MSV Duisburg2–4
A Fortuna Köln0–0
Head to head
2
Havelse
2
Draw
1
FC
Oct 2026Havelse – FC Saarbrücken3–2
Apr 2026Havelse – FC Saarbrücken2–0
Nov 2025FC Saarbrücken – Havelse1–1
Dec 2021FC Saarbrucken – Havelse2–2
Jul 2021Havelse – FC Saarbrucken0–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Saarbrücken clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (1.53 for Havelse, 2.41 for FC Saarbrücken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Havelse sit 20th on 10 points; FC Saarbrücken are 4th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.