Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Eilenriedestadion
Havelse
20th · 10 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC Ingolstadt 04
5th · 18 pts36% Havelse
24% Draw
40% FC
OUR PICK
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.56
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.76X4.1522.52
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
HavelseFC Ingolstadt 041.4Goals per game1.3
2.2Conceded per game1.4
0.83Points per game1.50
17%Win rate42%
-9Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Havelse form
No recent matches.
FC Ingolstadt 04 form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Havelse
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Havelse 36%, the draw 24%, FC Ingolstadt 04 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.48 for Havelse, 1.56 for FC Ingolstadt 04), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Havelse sit 20th on 10 points; FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.