Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 24Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Haugesund Stadion
Haugesund
1st · 65 pts2–0FULL TIME
Stabaek
4th · 58 pts43% Haugesund
21% Draw
37% Stabaek
OUR PICK
Haugesund to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X4.8522.73
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.33NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.33
GG
75%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
HaugesundStabaek2.9Goals per game2.3
1.7Conceded per game1.2
2.24Points per game2.00
72%Win rate62%
36Goal difference33
10Form, last 5 (pts)13
Haugesund form
WLWLWA Asane1–3
A Tromso3–2
H hodd3–2
A Stromsgodset5–0
H Lyn3–0
Stabaek form
WWWWDA Kongsvinger1–2
H ODD Ballklubb2–0
A Asane0–1
H Sandnes ULF4–1
H Strommen2–2
Head to head
2
Haugesund
0
Draw
3
Stabaek
Oct 2026Haugesund – Stabaek2–0
Apr 2026Stabaek – Haugesund3–2
May 2025Stabaek – Haugesund2–1
Dec 2023Haugesund – Stabaek3–0
Apr 2023Stabaek – Haugesund3–0
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Haugesund 43%, the draw 21%, Stabaek 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.09 for Haugesund, 1.93 for Stabaek), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Haugesund sit 1st on 65 points; Stabaek are 4th on 58.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.