Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
94%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 26Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Haugesund Stadion
Haugesund
1st · 65 pts3–0FULL TIME
Lyn
11th · 34 pts73% Haugesund
14% Draw
13% Lyn
OUR PICK
Haugesund to win
Model probability 73% · fair odds
1.36
Expected goals
3.24 – 1.37
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.36X7.2527.78
Goals 2.5Over1.20Under5.90
Both scoreGG1.40NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.20
Over 2.5
84%
Both teams to score@1.40
GG
72%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
HaugesundLyn2.9Goals per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game2.0
2.24Points per game1.17
72%Win rate34%
36Goal difference-13
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
Haugesund form
WLWLWA Asane1–3
A Tromso3–2
H hodd3–2
A Stromsgodset5–0
H Lyn3–0
Lyn form
WWLWLH Raufoss4–0
A Tromsdalen Uil1–3
A Sandnes ULF2–1
H Moss1–0
A Haugesund3–0
Head to head
2
Haugesund
0
Draw
0
Lyn
Oct 2026Haugesund – Lyn3–0
Apr 2026Lyn – Haugesund2–4
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Haugesund clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.6 goals in total (3.24 for Haugesund, 1.37 for Lyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Haugesund sit 1st on 65 points; Lyn are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.